The world is at a losing end in the US-Israel war on Iran

 

Since the Vietnam War, the narrative of the United States has not changed. It still suffers from that Superhero syndrome. It portrays all wars as the struggle between good and evil. The main goal is always to destroy the enemy. That enemy is seen as a threat to humanity and America is the mighty police force that is out there to protect and save humankind from its enemies. 

This was the logic of Henry Kissinger. He theorized that if communism succeeds in Vietnam, then the whole Asia would become communist. His solution was to carpet bomb Vietnam and Cambodia. And as what my student reminded me, America lost that war. It is the same story in Iraq and Afghanistan. Bombing Iran does not make the world a safer place. 

After all is said and done, Iran will simply rebuild and desire more to develop an atom bomb. America is safe. You cannot say the same to proxy states that it uses to fight for its brand of freedom. It is the story in Ukraine. After the collapse of the Soviet Nation, NATO promised not to expand. It reneged on that agreement. Russia went to war against Ukraine to protect itself from an existential threat, the same argument that Israel uses against Iran and its proxies. 

But the West paints two distinct narratives. Russia is bad, Israel is not. The US chooses to do its wars outside its territory. It is protected by distance and two vast oceans, which help it protect its hegemonic position. The Philippines, once more, will become another theater of war if its national government makes a big miscalculation that could cause our country's ultimate destruction in that final reckoning. 

If making the Philippines an ammunition hub will push through, the above is nothing less than an existential threat. The Philippines must not believe the false sense of security from its former colonial master. 

Iran wants nuclear weapons. This is what the US and Israel fears. What Israel and Trump are doing is called a “Strike First” policy. Israel wants to prevent Iran from acquiring any nuclear capability because that would spell its doom. be the dominant power in the Middle East. The war depends on Trump’s actions.  Right now Iran has an advantage by controlling the Strait of Hormuz, which accounts for 20% of the global oil trade.

The reason why the US wants to control the ME is oil. Oil and global security are linked together like two inseparable lovers. One cannot exist without the other. Trump had threatened to destroy the power plants in Iran. Iran countered by saying that in return, it will destroy the oil infrastructure of its neighbors. In fact, 

Trump knows that the destruction of the oil infrastructure in the ME would be devastating to the global economy. What is bad for the US is also bad for the world. This will force its allies to turn to China for rescue. That is why he changed his mind. For now. Iran does not think the US has the upper hand. But the reality that can't be denied is that the rest of the world stand to lose from this conflict.

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